The International Crisis Group published on 16 April 2025 an analysis titled "Battle for Darfur Reaches Fever Pitch as Sudan's War Enters Third Year" by Shewit Woldemichael.
The Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) still holds the North Darfur capital of El Fasher, which is under heavy siege from the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). If the RSF succeeds in capturing El Fasher, it will control nearly all of Darfur, setting the stage for what many fear could result in a de facto partition of Sudan.