CTC Sentinel's November/December edition contains an extensive analysis titled "The 2022 Somali Offensive Against Al-Shabaab: Making Enduring Gains Will Require Learning from Previous Failures" by Samira Gaid.
The experience of the last 15-plus years of counterinsurgency suggests that the gains may only be fleeting unless Somalia takes full ownership of the fight, focuses on winning hearts and minds, receives and coordinates continued U.S. and partner support, makes significant progress in building up its military, addresses the clan rivalries that al-Shabaab has been adept in exploiting, and implements a comprehensive counterinsurgency strategy that unifies stakeholders.