The Institute for Security Studies published in October 2019 an analysis titled "Deadline or Deadlock? AMISOM's Future in Somalia" by Jide Martyns Okeke, governance, peace, and security expert.
The author argues that Somalia's transition plan, which provides for a phased, condition-based transfer of security responsibility from AMISOM to the Federal Government of Somalia by 2021, is unrealistic. AMISOM is the most consistent provider of primary security in Somalia, but it is an interim force. Its political and operational reconfiguration is more likely to accelerate the conditions for an effective transition in Somalia than the focus on its withdrawal that preoccupies donor countries.