Thursday, March 25, 2021

Ethiopia's Tigray Crisis and Horn of Africa Politics

 The International Crisis Group (ICG) posted on 25 March 2021 a 38-minute podcast titled "Ethiopia's Tigray Crisis and Horn of Africa Politics."  Richard Atwood and guest host Comfort Ero talk with ICG  Horn of Africa director, Murithi Mutiga, about the fighting in Ethiopia's Tigray region and mounting tension between Ethiopia and its neighbors Eritrea and Sudan.

Mutiga believes the fighting in Tigray is likely to become a long-running, grinding battle without any military victory by either side.  Tigrayans believe time is on their side.  They rely on rural support and believe their cause is just.  

Mutiga says Eritrea is committed to crushing the TPLF in order to reassert Asmara's power in the region, but argues that this approach also reinforces Tigrayan opposition to Eritrea.  In the assumption that a military victory is not possible, he urges major international intervention led by the African Union.