CTC Sentinel published in January 2023 an analysis titled "Can Somalia's New Offensive Defeat Al-Shabaab" by Stig Jarle Hansen, Norwegian University of Life Sciences.
Somali government and regional forces have defeated al-Shabaab forces before only to see them reemerge as strong actors. The key is to erode al-Shabaab's ability to infiltrate government-controlled areas and its ability to govern, tax, and implement "justice" in these areas.
