Risk of Regionalizing the Sudan Conflict

 The Rift Valley Institute published in June 2023 a study titled "Sudan Conflict: Assessing the Risk of Regionalization."

The paper looks at the potential for a regionalization of the conflict between the Sudan Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, including external involvement by Sugan's neighbors and cross-border spillover.  Until now, most regional states are hedging their bets and pushing for greater regional engagement in mediation efforts and an eventual peace negotiation.

Ethiopia-Sudan Tensions

 Chatham House published in April 2023 a paper titled "Coordinating International Responses to Ethiopia-Sudan Tensions" by Jonas Horner and Ahmed Soliman.  

Published before the recent outbreak of conflict in Sudan, the paper identifies the ongoing disagreement between Ethiopia, Sudan, and Egypt over the operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam as the primary cross-border sensitive issue.  A second contentious issue concerns the contested fertile farmland of Al Fashaga along the Sudan-Ethiopia border and apparent Sudanese support for Tigrayan opponents of  the Ethiopian federal government.