The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) in Pretoria published an analysis on 11 April 2013 titled "Tensions Over the Jubaland Process in Somalia Could Embolden Al-Shabaab." The author is Andrews Atta-Asamoah, senior researcher at ISS.
The analysis highlights the tension between the Kismayo-based Kenyan forces and Ras Kamboni militia, on the one hand, and the Somali Federal Government (SFG) in Mogadishu, on the other. Atta-Asamoah concludes that the inability of the SFG to exercise authority over the Kismayo process is undermining its influence in other areas of Somalia. He adds that the SFG is on a collision course with the regional interests of Kenya, Ethiopia and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development.