Friday, April 11, 2014

Eritrea and Ethiopia: Beyond the Impasse

London's Chatham House published in April 2014 an analysis titled "Eritrea and Ethiopia: Beyond the Impasse" by Jason Mosley.  The analysis argues that opportunities exist for external efforts to foster improved relations between Eritrea and Ethiopia.  A fresh approach should involve engagement with each country individually, rather than immediate attempts to promote dialogue between them.

While any movement that helps normalize relations between Ethiopia and Eritrea would be a positive development, my own reading is that neither Ethiopia nor Eritrea is interested in taking those steps which might result in improved relations. 

2 comments:

  1. You can state neither government/regime want change.

    True voice of the people is currently restricted.

    Either way international law is on Eritreans side so up to guarantors of EEBC to uphold rules of the world.

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  2. "my own reading is that neither Ethiopia nor Eritrea is interested in taking those steps which might result in improved relations."

    Let's be perfectly honest here, at the risk of sound like a broken record the main obstacle to peace is Ethiopia. If the international Community(read US) acted like an honest broker and did whats right and pushed Ethiopia to abide by international norms and law, then both countries would be much better off. It's hypocritical for the international community(EU, UN, US) to chastize/sanction Russia for "annexing Crimea" and "breaking international law/norms etc", yet meanwhile, Ethiopia, a country that relies on Western Handouts is given a free pass. If ethiopia can't be made to honor it's agreement, why should any other conflicting parties(South Sudan Gov/Rieck Machar). Why would Egypt enter into any "negotiations" with ethiopia knowing that ethiopia will never honor it's word.

    As Isayas and the Eritrean government have stated a number of times, if ethiopia honored it's aggreement, then there's absolutely no reason for hostilities to remain.

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