The Middle East Institute (MEI) posted on 12 May 2021 an analysis titled "A Rigged Election in Somalia Could Open the Door to Civil War" by Guled Ahmed, nonresident scholar at MEI.
Somalia has pulled back from the brink by agreeing to move forward with parliamentary elections. The author is concerned, however, that Somali President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo may try to rig the upcoming elections, leading to civil war.