The International Crisis Group published on 25 September 2023 an analysis titled "Avoiding a New Cycle of Conflict in Somalia's Galmudug State."
The Somali federal member state of Galmudug has experienced recurrent strife during its eight-year existence. The causes are elite infighting, clan rivalries and battles with non-state armed groups. Interference from Mogadishu often worsens matters. Though Galmudug is quiet at present, elections likely coming in 2024 could increase tensions. The al-Shabaab insurgency is also strong in the area.