Just Security published on 12 August 2024 an analysis titled "The Year(s) of Magical Thinking on Sudan" by Payton Knopf, former US deputy special envoy for Sudan.
Three fallacies have contributed to the current crisis in Sudan. First, power-sharing between civilian and military actors or exclusively military actors is a basis for a stable political order. Second, ceasefires end violence or are a prerequisite for doing so. Third, political legitimacy is less important than coercive force. Belief in these fallacies has resulted in US policy that constitutes magical thinking.
