The London School of Economics and Political Science blog posted on 15 December 2022 a commentary titled "Peace Agreement Signed in Pretoria But the Future of Ethiopia Remains Uncertain" by Yohannes Woldemariam.
The author states that "Ethiopia is an empire that could be staring at complete disintegration." He concludes that the solution for survival may be creation of a "loose confederation" of states.
Foreign Policy published on 27 November 2021 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's Breakup Doesn't Have to Be Violent" by Teferi Mergo, University of Waterloo in Canada, and Kebene Kejela, University of St. Gallen in Switzerland. Both are affiliated with the Baro Tumsa Institute, an organization registered in the state of Maryland with ties to the Oromo Liberation Front.
The authors of this controversial piece call for the different parts of Ethiopia to decide their future by holding referenda according to article 39 of the constitution, resulting in a "confederation" of Ethiopian states.
Comment: After posting this blog, one of the authors contacted me and explained that the Baro Tumsa Institute (BTI) is not affiliated with the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF). While some BTI members might have affiliations with the OLF, it is not accurate to link BTI with the OLF. There are BTI members who have no affiliations with the OLF or with any Oromo political organization.
I apologize for misleading readers of my blog post.
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