Components of Fragility in South Sudan

 The International Organization for Migration published on 22 November 2023 a paper titled "Understanding Multidimensional Fragility in South Sudan: A Baseline Study of Kajo-Keji, Yei, Bor, and Wau Counties."

The study provides a comprehensive assessment of the multiple dimensions of fragility in South Sudan at the subnational level: political and legal, social, economic, security, and environmental.  The research was conducted through a face-to-face household survey involving 1,595 adult respondents (51 per cent female and 49 per cent male), with approximately 400 participants in each of the four counties.  

Africa's 26 Fragile Countries

The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) in South Africa published in October 2013 a paper titled "Prospects for Africa's 26 Fragile Countries" by Jakkie Cilliers, ISS executive director, and Timothy Sisk, professor of international and comparative politics at the University of Denver. 

The paper provides a long-term forecast of 26 fragile African countries.  They are chosen on the basis of comparative lists of fragile countries from indicators that reflect the fragility syndrome.  The forecasts suggest that, in the long-term, ten countries in Africa will continue to remain fragile into the mid-21st century.

All of the countries in the Horn of Africa are among the 26 fragile countries except for Djibouti.  Sudan, South Sudan and Somalia are included among the ten that are projected to remain fragile until 2050.