Thursday, February 7, 2013

Where Is Eritrea Heading?

Berouk Mesfin, senior researcher, Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis Division of the Institute for Security Studies in Addis Ababa, published a brief analysis titled "Where Is Eritrea Heading?"  He reviews the 21 January 2013 mutiny in Asmara and then looks to the future. 

He concludes that political chance in Eritrea "will most likely come in the form of an extended and bitter internal struggle within the military, which is the only organised entity in Eritrea" and added "the most likely outcome will be a new authoritarian strongman."

1 comment:

  1. The question should be....Where is Ethiopia Heading?
    ---
    It is only a matter of time before the Muslim uprising start to spill over from the confinement of mosque yards. Soon we will witness Muslim Ethiopians occupying Ethiopian diplomatic offices abroad and also occupying government building in Addis and other parts of the country.
    There is also high probability that Christian orthodox followers to copycat the Muslims to express their opposition to government’s interference in the affairs of the orthodox church.
    The genie is out of the bottle and EPRDF run its course and now it is facing its final demise.

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