The Institute for Security Studies published on 18 September 2019 an analysis titled "With Bashir Gone, the Horn Faces a Power Shake-up" by Omar S. Mahmood and Andrews Atta-Asamoah.
The end of Omar al-Bashir's tenure in Sudan occurred because of his inability to provide viable solutions to pressing domestic issues. Given his regional stature, al-Bashir's removal is also a major shock for a region undergoing rapid transformation. Under its new civilian-military government, Sudan's influence beyond its borders is likely to diminish. At the same time, the region and beyond are now in a stronger position to influence events in Sudan.