Ethiopia Insight published on 5 April 2021 a commentary titled "Why Peace Will Be Elusive in Ethiopia's Civil War in Tigray" by Kjetil Tronvoll, Bjorknes University College in Oslo.
The author suggests there will be no end to the conflict in Tigray Region before the start of the rainy season in June, after which military activity by all sides will be difficult. This could result in a long drawn-out war.