AEIs Critical Threats Africa File posted on 2 October 2026 an update titled "Ethiopia War Security Review" by Michael DeAngelo.
Ethiopian federal forces have almost completely reversed Afar and Tigrayan rebel gains in Afar Region. They have also continued advancing on main roads toward Mekele, capital of Tigray Region. Rebel forces have launched drone strikes on federal facilities in the vicinity of Addis Ababa and elsewhere.
