Showing posts with label Meles Zenawi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Meles Zenawi. Show all posts

Saturday, July 26, 2025

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: The Role of Key Leaders in Its Development

 The blog of Lawrence Freeman posted on 24 July 2025 an article titled "The Legacy & Vision of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam."

The article examines the historical context of Nile water usage, the roles played by four Ethiopian leaders in advancing the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, and the dam's prospects for aiding Ethiopia's sovereignty and prosperity.  

Friday, July 18, 2025

Alhurra Interview on the Horn of Africa

 Alhurra has just posted a 30-minute interview with me in English and with Arabic subtitles on "The Diplomat" dealing with the Horn of Africa.

Much of the interview focuses on US diplomacy during the Ethiopia-Eritrea war that broke out in 1998.  There is also a discussion of US policy towards Sudan and the genocide in Rwanda.

Monday, May 26, 2025

An Insider Disects the Collapse of the Tigray People's Liberation Front

 Ethiopia Insight published on 26 May 2025 a commentary titled "TPLF Insider Blows Lid Off Party's Long Road to Collapse."

An anonymous former Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) leader discusses the unraveling of the party.  The insider argues that the TPLF's problems were not caused by any one person but were a cumulative disaster decades in the making.

Tuesday, September 17, 2024

Meles Would End Political Squabbling in Tigray Region

 Ethiopia Insight published on 16 September 2024 a commentary titled "Tigray's Squabbling Leaders Should Honor Meles' Legacy" by Mulugeta Gebregziabher, Medical University of South Carolina.  

While the author praises the legacy of Meles Zenawi, he also acknowledges some faults.  More importantly, he suggests Meles would end the squabbling over power and waste of time and resources demonstrated by the current leaders of Tigray Region.  

Saturday, February 3, 2024

Podcast on Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa

 Seattle-based Dhugaa Media posted on 3 February 2024 a 54-minute podcast titled "Focus on Ethiopia and the Horn Region" with me moderated by Nagessa Oddo Dube.  

This is a wide-ranging discussion of issues in the Horn of Africa with a focus on Ethiopia, Somalia, Somaliland, Djibouti, and Eritrea.  

Friday, November 3, 2023

Argument for Ethiopian Port and Navy

 Ken Opalo posted on 3 November 2023 a commentary titled "Ethiopia Needs a Reliable Seaport and a Navy."

The author makes the case why landlocked Ethiopia should have reliable access to a seaport and a navy as a guarantor of its economic interests in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean.  

Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Michela Wrong's Account of Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki

 The Economist's 1843 Magazine published on 28 September 2023 a long commentary on Eritrea's President Isaias Afwerki titled "The Surprising Triumph of 'Africa's Kim Jong Un'" by Michela Wrong.

A political survivor with close ties to China, Isaias survived a crushing defeat by Ethiopia's military in their 1998-2000 war to emerge as an ally, and some would say senior partner, in Ethiopia's internal war against Tigray Region, which borders Eritrea and took place from 2020 to 2022.  According to Wrong, Isaias has always believed he could control much larger and wealthier Ethiopia.  

Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Podcast on Eritrea's Feud with Ethiopia's Tigray

 The International Crisis Group posted a 50-minute podcast with Michael Woldemariam, University of Maryland, titled "Eritrea's Long Bitter Feud with Ethiopia's Tigray" moderated by Alan Boswell.  

The podcast provides a background on the feud between the government of Eritrea and the TPLF leadership in Tigray Region.  Eritrea has dedicated significant forces to the Ethiopian central government effort to defeat Tigrayans in the civil war that broke out in 2020.  The immediate withdrawal of Eritrean forces from Ethiopia is essential to a successful end of the conflict.  At the same time, there needs to be a conversation about Eritrea's security concerns.  

Tuesday, December 21, 2021

Ethiopian Political Developments Since World War II

 A Reuters Special Report published on 21 December 2021 is an account titled "A Fractured Giant: Ethiopia's Struggle to Build a Nation" by Matthew Green.

This is a review of political developments in Ethiopia since World War II, supplemented with photographs during the different periods.

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Why Ethiopia Should Trust the West

 Foreign Policy published on 10 November 2021 a commentary titled "Why Ethiopia Should Trust the West" by Seifudein Adem, Doshisha University in Japan.

The author concludes that it appears Ethiopia is reaching a stage where it cannot save itself and only the West has the willingness and capacity to rescue the Ethiopian state from devouring its own citizens--and eventually itself.  US efforts to help Ethiopia have led to anti-Americanism in Ethiopia that is not ideological and is, therefore, a short-term phenomenon.  It is connected with what the United States is perceived to be doing rather than what the United States is.  At such a perilous moment, it is important for ordinary Ethiopians to understand why they should trust the West.

The underlying frame of reference of the conflict in Tigray region is the contrasting visions of two groups--Amhara and Tigrayan elites--about the future direction of Ethiopia.  Tigrayan elites want to keep ethnic federalism while Amhara elites want to abolish ethnic federalism because it undermines Ethiopia's unity.  

Ethiopia's Western friends can help the country as it tries to heal itself.  If Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed wants to keep Ethiopia together, he will be better off embracing Western efforts rather than shunning them. 

Comment:  A great deal of ink has been spilled in recent months on the humanitarian crisis and civil war in Ethiopia.  The comments by Seifudein Adem are among the most rational and constructive that I have seen.  


Sunday, October 17, 2021

Ethiopia: Two Views of the TPLF

 Ethiopia Insight published on 17 October 2021 a commentary titled "Contextualizing an Ethiopia 'Terrorist' Organization" by Yebio Woldemariam, York College of CUNY.  

This is a provocative commentary that looks at the Tigray People's Liberation Front from two perspectives.  

Monday, June 28, 2021

Ethiopia Inaugurates Chinese-built and Largely Financed Renamed Excellence Academy

 Walta News Agency published on 27 June 2021 an article titled "PM Inaugurates African Leadership Excellence Academy."  

The purpose is to train diplomatic, military and business leaders in Ethiopia.  Ethiopia funded one-third of the cost and China funded two-thirds.  A Chinese company built the Academy.

The Fortune newspaper published on 26 June 2021 an article titled "PM Inaugurates Renamed Leadership Academy."

The article reports that just before the inauguration, the Council of Ministers approved a motion to change the name of the Academy from the Meles Zenawi Leadership Academy to the African Leadership Excellence Academy.  It seems that it is no longer politically correct to use the name of the former Tigrayan prime minister in the name of the Academy.  

Thursday, June 24, 2021

The Sudan-Ethiopia Border Dispute

 The International Crisis Group (ICG) published on 24 June 2021 an analysis titled "Containing the Volatile Sudan-Ethiopia Border Dispute."

Ethiopia and Sudan are locked in a dangerous military standoff over a piece of fertile borderland farmed by Ethiopian farmers but claimed by Sudan.  External partners should urge the two countries to find a land-use compromise similar to an earlier soft border arrangement without linking the issue to other contentious issues.  

Tuesday, June 1, 2021

Eritrea Goes from Pariah State to Regional Powerbroker

 World Politics Review published on 1 June 2021 a commentary titled "Eritrea Goes from Pariah State to Regional Powerbroker" by Tanja Muller, University of Manchester.

The author concludes that in the last three years, Eritrea has gone from being an international pariah state to an increasingly visible and influential regional power broker in the Horn of Africa.  Beginning in 2018, with its normalization of diplomatic relations with Ethiopia and Somalia, and more recently with its military assistance to Ethiopia in Tigray Region, the secretive, dictatorial state has broken out of the isolation it previously faced.

Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Eritrea's Goals in the Red Sea Basin

 The International Crisis Group posted on 6 April 2021 a 45-minute podcast titled "What Eritrea Wants" with Alan Boswell and Harry Verhoeven, a scholar on international politics in Africa.

Following the political transition in Ethiopia and Eritrea's alliances with Gulf states across the Red Sea, Asmara is looking to shape the region in its favor.  According to Verhoeven, Eritrean President Isaias believes the current conflict in Tigray Region is creating new political and security imbalances in the Horn of Africa that open the door to even more conflict.  Isaias is a realist who primarily acts to protect what he has built in Eritrea.

Thursday, April 1, 2021

VOA Summarizes Roots of Conflict in Tigray

 The Voice of  America posted on 1 April 2021 a seven minute video titled "Tigray, Ethiopia: From Conflict to Humanitarian Crisis."

The VOA summarizes the roots of the current conflict in Ethiopia's Tigray Region, making every effort to provide balance as it does so.  

Thursday, March 25, 2021

Ethiopia's Tigray Crisis and Horn of Africa Politics

 The International Crisis Group (ICG) posted on 25 March 2021 a 38-minute podcast titled "Ethiopia's Tigray Crisis and Horn of Africa Politics."  Richard Atwood and guest host Comfort Ero talk with ICG  Horn of Africa director, Murithi Mutiga, about the fighting in Ethiopia's Tigray region and mounting tension between Ethiopia and its neighbors Eritrea and Sudan.

Mutiga believes the fighting in Tigray is likely to become a long-running, grinding battle without any military victory by either side.  Tigrayans believe time is on their side.  They rely on rural support and believe their cause is just.  

Mutiga says Eritrea is committed to crushing the TPLF in order to reassert Asmara's power in the region, but argues that this approach also reinforces Tigrayan opposition to Eritrea.  In the assumption that a military victory is not possible, he urges major international intervention led by the African Union.  

Friday, January 8, 2021

What Does Eritrean Presence in Tigray Region Mean for Ethiopia and Eritrea?

 African Arguments posted on 8 January 2021 a commentary titled "Eritrea in the Tigray War: What We Know and Why It Might Backfire" by Martin Plaut, Institute of Commonwealth Studies.  

The author presents the evidence documenting the presence of Eritrean troops in Tigray Region, arguing that the Tigray conflict was meant to rid Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki of his Tigrayan enemies.  He concludes the problem for both Isaias and Ethiopian President Abiy Ahmed is that the conflict might drag on for months, if not years.  The war could end up destabilizing either, or both, governments.  

Saturday, May 23, 2020

Ethiopia: Back to the Future 2005

Ethiopia Insight posted on 22 May 2020 a commentary titled "For Ethiopia's Political Tribes, It's 2005 Redux" by Mistir Sew, a generic byline for all anonymous authors.

The author suggests that Ethiopia's political climate today resembles the one that existed before the 2005 elections.  There is, however, a big difference.  The three political power bases now are Tigray and Afar, urban elites including Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, and the Oromo-dominated south.

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Ethiopia's Changing Economy Through the Eyes of Street Hustlers

Ethiopia Insight published on 14 November 2019 a commentary titled "Hustling at 'the End of History'. Development and Inequality in Inner Addis" by Marco Di Nunzio.

The author looks at the transition of the Ethiopian economy from Meles Zenawi's statism to Abiy Ahmed's market economy through the eyes of Addis Ababa street hustlers.