An Africanist Perspective posted on 27 February 2026 a commentary titled "Conflict in the Horn of Africa Isn't Inevitable. People Can Choose Peace" by Ken Opalo.
The fundamental drivers of conflict in the Horn of Africa are domestic. Once rebellions start, they tend to acquire lives of their own. A neighborhood of weak states with porous borders contributes to the problem, making it easy for regional rivals and foreign governments to interfere.
Too many people in the Horn are convinced that organized violence is a legitimate response to losing in the political arena. That has to change before there will be peace.


