Foreign Policy published on 12 March 2025 an analysis titled "Stop the Next Ethiopia-Eritrea War Before It Begins" by Payton Knopf and Alexander Rondos.
The deterioration of the political and security situation in Ethiopia's Tigray Region is dry tinder waiting for a match that could ignite a war between Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Addis Ababa accuses Asmara of undermining the Pretoria Agreement that ended the war in Tigray Region and of supporting insurgent groups elsewhere in Ethiopia. Asmara perceives landlocked Ethiopia's calls for access to the Red Sea as a casus belli and forerunner for efforts to return Eritrea to Ethiopian sovereignty.
