The Emirates Policy Center published on 29 April 2025 an analysis titled "Assessment of Somalia's Security Landscape and Prospects of Counterterrorism Efforts."
Somalia is likely to face a continuing back-and-forth conflict situation with al-Shabaab terrorists. This prospect decreases Somalia's ability to recover politically and economically. It also raises the possibility of "Afghanization" should the balance of power shift in favor of al-Shabaab.
