The European Council on Foreign Relations published on 9 October 2024 a commentary titled "The Sweating Bear: Why Russia's Influence in Africa Is Under Threat" by Will Brown.
Russia's military operations in Africa are not succeeding, and Moscow is not setting itself up as a long-term partner for African governments. Moscow is losing credibility as a reliable partner for African governments. Everywhere Russia has sent troops, the security situation is dramatically worse than when international forces were present.