Al-Shabaab after the Death of Godane

The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) published a commentary on 8 October 2014 titled "What Changes for Al-Shabaab after the Death of Godane?" by Berouk Mesfin, ISS Addis Ababa.   Mesfin concluded that over the long term, al-Shabaab will remain a major and actual threat in the Horn of Africa. 

Analysis of Al-Shabaab after Godane

The Center for Policy Analysis and Research (CfPAR) published on 19 September 2014 an analysis titled "The Demise of Al-Shabaab Leader: End of the Game?" by Abukar Sanei, director of CfPAR.  He concludes that the death of Ahmed Abdi Godane will not be the end of the game for al-Shabaab in Somalia because the organization is a group based on ideology, not individuals.  

Al-Shabaab's Last Stand?

Foreign Affairs published on 11 September 2014 a commentary titled "Al-Shabab's Last Stand?" by Paul Hidalgo, an analyst on the Horn of Africa.  The article concludes that the death of Ahmed Abdi Godane provides a unique opportunity for allied forces to press the advantage against al-Shabaab and potentially deliver a decisive blow.  In the long run, however, it may increase the extremist threat in East Africa.

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Al-Shabaab Under New Leadership

The Washington-based Institute for Defense Analysis published in its 11 September 2014 edition of Africa Watch an article titled "Al-Shabaab under New Leadership" by Ashley Neese Bybee.   It concludes that the death of Ahmed Abdi Godane will not cause al-Shabaab to crumble.