Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Predicting Africa's Future between China and the West

 The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute published on 3 July 2023 a commentary titled "Peak China, a Declining USA and the Future of Africa" by Jakkie Cilliers, Institute for Security Studies in South Africa.

The Institute for Security Studies' African Futures and Innovation program has concluded that the next two decades will bring a more complex, multipolar and less Western world to Africa, one in which regional rather than global connectedness is growing.  

If Africa wants to grow, reduce poverty and provide jobs for its large working-age population, it must trade and engage with China, Europe, and the United States and increase its relations with the emerging South on its own terms.  Above all, inclusive growth in Africa requires global stability, particularly an end to the competition between China and the United States for influence on the continent.  Europe steadily emerges as the swing region globally, moderating and bridging these global divisions.