Predicting Africa's Future between China and the West

 The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute published on 3 July 2023 a commentary titled "Peak China, a Declining USA and the Future of Africa" by Jakkie Cilliers, Institute for Security Studies in South Africa.

The Institute for Security Studies' African Futures and Innovation program has concluded that the next two decades will bring a more complex, multipolar and less Western world to Africa, one in which regional rather than global connectedness is growing.  

If Africa wants to grow, reduce poverty and provide jobs for its large working-age population, it must trade and engage with China, Europe, and the United States and increase its relations with the emerging South on its own terms.  Above all, inclusive growth in Africa requires global stability, particularly an end to the competition between China and the United States for influence on the continent.  Europe steadily emerges as the swing region globally, moderating and bridging these global divisions.  

Ethiopia: Can "Abiymania" Withstand Ethnic Conflict?

World Politics Review published on 15 October 2018 an interview with Terrence Lyons, George Mason University, entitled "Can 'Abiymania' in Ethiopia Withstand the Threat of Ethnic Conflict?"

Terence Lyons responds to questions dealing with the factors that have led to recent ethnic violence, the extent to which the violence is a setback for Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's reform and reconciliation efforts, and how effective he has been in implementing his other main policy priorities.

Human Freedom Index - 2017 - East Africa and the Horn

The Washington-based CATO Institute, the Fraser Institute in Canada, and the Liberales Institut at the Friedrich Naumann Foundation for Freedom in Germany have published the "2017 Human Freedom Index." It ranks 159 countries based on 79 distinct indicators using data from 2008 to 2017.

It ranked only four countries in East Africa and the Horn, all of which fell below the midpoint. Kenya performed best at number 89, followed by Uganda at 94 and Tanzania at 99. Ethiopia had the lowest regional ranking at number 146. The other countries in the Horn of Africa were not included.