The Foreign Policy Research Institute published on 26 July 2023 an analysis titled "Wagner Mutiny Ex Post Facto: What's Next for Russia and Africa?" by Raphael Parens.
The Wagner Group's future in Africa will vary country by country. It is well established in the Central African Republic, profitable, and likely to survive with or without Russian government support. If it loses Russian government support, its agenda will become more limited in Mali, Burkina Faso, and especially Sudan.
