Sudan's Juba Peace Accord Likely to Fail

 War on the Rocks published on 22 September 2020 an analysis titled "A Chance for Peace? The Impact of the Juba Peace Deal on Sudan's Fragile Transition" by Jean-Baptiste Gallopin, independent researcher.  

The author argues that the Juba peace accord on conflict in Darfur, Southern Kordofan, and Blue Nile regions of Sudan will not bring peace because it offers no solution to the intercommunal conflicts that define the new patterns of violence in Sudan's peripheries and is silent on key issues of implementation.

Sudan Backgrounder

The Congressional Research Service posted on 28 May 2019 an updated background piece on Sudan by Lauren Ploch Blanchard. It covers current issues and U.S. policy and assistance to Sudan.

Prospects for National Political Dialogue in Sudan

The International Crisis Group (ICG) published on 11 March 2015 a briefing titled "Sudan: The Prospects for 'National Dialogue'".  The ICG concludes that the prospects for a soft-landing to end Sudan's internal political differences are fading because the ruling National Congress Party is unwilling or unable to make necessary concessions.

Conversation with Former US Special Envoy for Sudan

The U.S. Institute for Peace published a three part interview with Princeton Lyman, former U.S. special envoy for Sudan.  Part I dated 28 April 2014 is titled "Sudan National Dialogue."  Part II dated 30 April 2014 is titled "Sudan and the West."  Part III dated 2 May 2014 is titled "Sudan Looking Ahead."  The series offers useful insights on U.S. policy and the challenges for finding solutions to the problems in Sudan and South Sudan.

Humanitarian Access to Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile

The US Commission on International Religious Freedom issued a policy brief in September 2012 that called on the government of Sudan to permit humanitarian access to Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile States so that the international community could address the needs of hundreds of thousands of displaced persons.

Click here to read the policy brief.

Discussion of Situation in South Sudan

Carol Castiel of VOA's Encounter program asked Jon Temin, head of the Sudan office at the US Institute of Peace, and I to join her for a half hour discussion on the current situation in South Sudan on its one year anniversary of independence. The program ran on 13 July.

Both Jon and I agreed that the high point for South Sudan was independence on 9 July 2011; the situation has generally gone downhill since and has also worsened in Sudan. The decision in January by the government in Juba to end oil production was especially ill-advised.

Click here to access the page that will take you to the program. Scroll to the bottom of the page; the program appears under the airdate for 13 July from 11:30 pm to 12:00 am.

The Enough Project, an enthusiastic support of South Sudan independence and critic of the government in Khartoum, also used the occasion to comment on the situation in South Sudan on its one year anniversary. Click here to read comments by Amanda Hsiao.