The International Crisis Group (ICG) posted on 12 April 2024 a 44-minute podcast titled "What's Left of Sudan After a Year at War?"
ICG experts Shewit Woldemichael and Alan Boswell discuss with Richard Atwood the war in Sudan on the eve of its first anniversary. They review recent gains by the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) against the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), which appeared until recently to have the upper hand. They unpack the humanitarian crisis and the possibility of famine. They provide insights on the internal dynamics within the SAF, which increasingly rely on Islamist brigades and other armed groups, and the RSF.
They examine the role of outside powers, with Egypt supporting and Iran reportedly selling drones to the SAF, and the UAE widely thought to be arming the RSF. They discuss the challenges of getting the warring parties' leaders to engage in a peace process and the difficulties of returning Sudan to a civilian-led post-war transition. They conclude that Sudan has essentially collapsed.
