The CTC Sentinel published in September 2023 an analysis titled "After Prigozhin: The Future of the Wagner Model in Africa" by Christopher Faulkner, Raphael Parens, and Marcel Plichta.
Wagner Group personnel in Africa appear poised to carry on their original missions given the importance of the continent to Russia's broader strategic ambitions. Moscow has signaled a tolerance, if not need, for Wagner or a Wagner-like entity in Africa. Abandoning Wagner clients would severely undermine Russia's influence on the continent.
