AEI's Critical Threats Africa File published on 5 February 2026 an article titled "Ethiopia" by Michael DeAngelo, Liam Karr, and Anahita Asudani.
The article describes Tigray Defense Force efforts to take territory held by the Ethiopian National Defense Force and Amhara militias. The heightened tensions could spark a broader conflict with Eritrea. Should war break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea, Egypt and the UAE would likely get pulled into it.
