The International Crisis Group published on 18 February 2026 an analysis titled "Ethiopia, Eritrea and Tigray: A Powder Keg in the Horn of Africa."
A new war involving Ethiopia, Eritrea and Tigray Region of Ethiopia is palpable. It is gripped by rising tensions between the federal government in Addis Ababa, on one side, and the Tigray Region and its northern neighbor, Eritrea, on the other. Recent developments suggest they are getting ready for conflict.
