Sudan Conflict Impacts Stability in Chad

 The International Crisis Group published on 1 September 2025 an analysis titled "Keeping Chad Stable as Sudan's Conflict Rages."

Chadian support for the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in neighboring Sudan's war with the Sudan Armed Forces has embroiled Ndjamena in the conflict.  Chad also hosts about 875,000 Sudanese refugees and 300,000 Chadian returnees, creating a humanitarian crisis.  The end of US aid, increasing crime, and ethnic conflict are exacerbating the situation.  The UAE is playing an outsized role in Sudan and Chad.

For a French translation, click here.  

Sudan: Battle for North Darfur Capital of El Fasher May Decide Future of Country

 The International Crisis Group published on 16 April 2025 an analysis titled "Battle for Darfur Reaches Fever Pitch as Sudan's War Enters Third Year" by Shewit Woldemichael.  

The Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) still holds the North Darfur capital of El Fasher, which is under heavy siege from the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF).  If the RSF succeeds in capturing El Fasher, it will control nearly all of Darfur, setting the stage for what many fear could result in a de facto partition of Sudan.  

Preventing Genocide in Sudan

 Foreign Policy published on 25 October 2024 a commentary titled "How the U.N. Can Prevent Genocide in Sudan" by Romeo Dallaire and Shelly Whitman.  

While a UN peacekeeping force in Sudan is not politically feasible at the moment, a multinational or African Union-led protection force with troops from willing countries could be mounted to protect civilians.  Initially, it could establish safe zones or safe corridors for civilians to facilitate the delivery of emergency aid. 

Sudan's Killing Fields

 The Washington Post posted on 9 September 2024 an article titled "Videos from Sudan's Killing Fields Reveal Ethnic Hatred Behind Massacres" by Katharine Houreld, Hafiz Haroun, Lucy Provan, Klaas van Dijken, and Maud Jullien.  

The videos underscore the vitriol of Arab militiamen affiliated with the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces toward their Black African victims and the toll of that bigotry.  

Detailed Report on Massacre in Sudan's Darfur Province

 The independent Lighthouse Reports published on 9 September 2024 an article titled "The Kutum Massacre."  It was co-published with Sky News, Le Monde, and The Washington Post.

The report provides details on the June 2023 extrajudicial killing of more than 70 non-Arab Sudanese civilians in the western region of Darfur Province by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces.  

The Battle for Sudan's El Fasher

 The International Crisis Group (ICG) posted on 24 June 2024 an analysis titled "Halting the Catastrophic Battle for Sudan's El Fasher."

A showdown between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) is unfolding in Sudan's North Darfur region in the besieged capital of El Fasher.  More than a million civilians are caught up in the conflict.  

The ICG is calling on the United Nations and the United States to mediate a de-escalation of the situation while the UAE presses the RSF to stand down and Egypt and Saudi Arabia do the same with the SAF.  

Genocide Looming in Sudan's Darfur Region

 Foreign Policy published on 5 June 2024 a commentary titled "Sudanese Militias Are Committing Genocide--Again" by Mutasim Ali and Yonah Diamond, both at the Raoul Wallenberg Centre for Human Rights.  

The authors argue that genocide is unfolding in Darfur instigated by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces.  They add that the international peace process is not designed to prevent genocide from happening.  

Concern with Genocide in Sudan's Darfur

 Just Security published on 9 May 2024 a commentary titled "The Darfur Genocide Demands International Action and Accountability" by Mutasim Ali and Yonah Diamond, both with the Raoul Wallenberg Center for Human Rights.

The eminent risk of genocide and crimes against humanity in Sudan's North Darfur region begs for international action.  The authors argue that the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces continue to commit genocide against the non-Arab Masalit in West Darfur.  

Preventing Another Darfur Genocide

 The Center for Strategic and International Studies published on 25 April 2024 a commentary titled "Preventing Another Darfur Genocide" by Cameron Hudson.  

The author suggests several steps that might help prevent an incipient genocide in Sudan's North Darfur region.  

Will the War in Sudan Become More Ethnically Based?

 Aljazeera published on 22 April 2024 an article titled "Sudan War Could Lead to More Ethnic Killings in Volatile Darfur Region" by Mat Nashed.

Increasingly, the conflict in Sudan, especially in Darfur region, is becoming an ethnic conflict.  There are fears that non-Arab Zaghawa, who reside in both Darfur and neighboring Chad, may join the battle in greater numbers.  

US Senators Recognize Genocide in Sudan's Darfur

 Four members (two Democrats and two Republicans) of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee introduced on 13 February 2024 a resolution recognizing the actions of the Rapid Support Forces and allied militias in the Darfur region of Sudan against non-Arab ethnic communities as acts of genocide.  

Sudan's Darfur Faces All-out Ethnic War

Aljazeera published on 22 November 2023 an article titled "Fears of All-out Ethnic War Rise in Sudan's Darfur" by Mat Nashed.

 The on-going fighting in Darfur will most likely turn into an all-out ethnic based conflict.  Five mostly non-Arab armed militia known as the Joint Protection Forces have banded together to protect the last remaining part of Darfur region from the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces.

Sudan Rebels Gain Territory in Darfur

 The Washington Post published on 8 November 2023 an article titled "Rebel Militias Rout Sudanese Army in Darfur, Mass Killings Reported" by Katharine Houreld and Hafiz Haroun.

Three of the five regional capitals in Sudan's Darfur province have fallen to the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces over the past week.  Mass killings have accompanied the fighting with the Sudan Armed Forces.  

Sudan's Darfur: Back to the Future

 Foreign Affairs published on 18 September 2023 an article titled "The New Crisis in Darfur" by Alex de Waal.  

New atrocities in Sudan's Darfur region are reminiscent of the genocide that began in 2003.  The difference is that the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces have replaced the Janjaweed.  A solution hinges now on actions taken by the United Nations, African Union, and United States.

The Fallout in Chad from the Fightng in Sudan

 The International Crisis Group published on 10 August 2023 an analysis titled "The Fallout in Chad from the Fighting in Darfur" by Enrica Picco.

The analysis provides the background on relations between Darfur and Chad and describes the impact on Chad of the ongoing fighting in Sudan.  Eastern Chad is struggling to accommodate refugees from Sudan.  

Impact of Conflict in Sudan's Darfur Region on Chad

 The Interntional Crisis Group published on 10 August 2023 a report titled "The Fallout in Chad from the Fighting in Darfur" by Enrica Picco.

In the first three months of fighting in Sudan's Darfur region, about 330,000 Sudanese refugees and 50,000 Chadian citizens have fled Darfur for Chad.  Consequently, eastern Chad is struggling to accommodate the new arrivals.  There is growing pressure on the government of Chad to pick a side in the conflict.