Djibouti's Presidential Transition in April 2026

 The Emirates Policy Center published on 7 November 2025 an analysis titled "Djibouti at a Crossroads: The Presidential Transition Crisis Ahead of April 2026 Elections."

President Ismail Omar Guelleh is considering amending the constitution to pursue a sixth term.  Three scenarios now face Djibouti's political future: (1) a constitutional amendment allowing Guelleh to remain president for a sixth term; (2) a controlled and negotiated transfer of power; or (3) elections that result in an alternative candidate from the Issa clan assuming office.  

A Pessimistic Take on Ethiopia's Peace Agreement

 The London School of Economics and Political Science blog posted on 15 December 2022 a commentary titled "Peace Agreement Signed in Pretoria But the Future of Ethiopia Remains Uncertain" by Yohannes Woldemariam.

The author states that "Ethiopia is an empire that could be staring at complete disintegration."  He concludes that the solution for survival may be creation of a "loose confederation" of states.  

The Conflict in Ethiopia from a Tigrayan Perspective

 Ethiopia Insight posted on 18 December 2020 a commentary titled "The War on Tigray: A Multi-pronged Assault Driven by Genocidal Undercurrents" by Gebrekirstos Gebremeskel, an Amsterdam-based researcher.  

This is a lengthy and controversial historical account of the conflict in Tigray Region written from a Tigrayan perspective.  The author argues the conflict is a war against Tigray Region and the Tigrayan people with the goal of destroying Tigray.