Nanyang Technological University published on 6 July 2026 an article titled "Assessing Ethiopia's Economic Reform and Outlook" by Rafiq Raji.
Ethiopia's economic growth since 2022 has averaged about 8.5 percent and is projected to maintain that rate at least until 2030, assuming there are no catastrophic events such as a war in Tigray region or with Eritrea. Inflation is trending down and Ethiopia has restructured its significant level of debt. The country's exports are doing well.
Ethiopia Insight published on 27 July 2026 a commentary titled "Amhara Nationalism Faces Historic Choice in National Dialogue" by Henok Ambachew, a pseudonym for a former lecturer at Bahir Dar University.
Ethiopia's ruling Prosperity Party has replaced the EPRDF coalition model with a single national party, which the author says is based on a different organizing principle called "demographic majoritarianism."
The Prosperity Party increasingly reflects the numerical weight of Ethiopia's population. The 45-member executive committee consists of 10 Oromo members, 8 Amharas, 4 Somalis with the remaining distributed among other regional constituencies. This was not the outcome desired by many Amhara elites.
Ethiopia Insight published on 18 July 2026 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's National Dialogue Could Unravel the Federal Bargain" by Muktar Ismail.
On 15 July, Ethiopia's long awaited National Dialogue Conference opened in Addis Ababa with over 4,000 participants from around the nation.
The author argues that many Somalis in Ethiopia view the Conference not as an attempt to achieve national reconciliation but an attempt to revise Ethiopia's federalist form of government, which remains central to Somali preferences.
The Emirates Policy Center published on 7 July 2026 an analysis titled "Ethiopia's Seventh Elections: Challenges of Internal Stability and Repercussions on Regional Politics."
The huge victory by the ruling Prosperity Party in Ethiopia's recent parliamentary elections did not resolve the crisis of political legitimacy, as the electoral process remained characterized by a precarious security environment, inequitable competition, and a significant lack of voter turnout in numerous regions.
African Business published on 23 June 2026 an article titled "Where Next for Ethiopia after Abiy Ahmed's Landslide?" by Harry Clynch.
Following the landslide victory by Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party in national elections, the article suggests Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed will push for deeper centralization of government power, an acceleration of economic reform, and a continuing effort to obtain access to the sea for landlocked Ethiopia.
Abren, a group of Ethiopian Americans in the Washington area, posted on 18 June 2026 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's Road Ahead: Politics After the 2026 Election."
This commentary provides an overview of the national elections that took place in Ethiopia earlier this month. It assumes a landslide victory for Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party but highlights several problems that occurred during the elections. Abren predicts the acceleration of market liberalization and a continuing effort by the government to obtain access to the sea.
The Committee to Protect Journalists published on 29 May 2026 an article titled "'Under the Shadow of Fear': Censorship Is Ethiopia's Real Election Story, Journalists Say."
Intimidation of the press is becoming the norm in the runup to Ethiopia's national elections. Numerous reporters have experienced a variety of challenges as they attempt to cover the elections.
Ethiopia Insight published on 16 May 2026 a commentary titled "Teddy Afro's Mourning Tent and Ethiopia's Fractured National Imagination" by Belete Addis Yemata, University of Melbourne.
Teddy Afro's new album Etorika and especially the opening song, Das Tal (loosely meaning "pitch the tent"), has drawn more than 140 million views on You Tube and ignited political arguments throughout the Ethiopian community. Reactions to Das Tal exposed political loyalty, politico-religious alignment, competing ideas of Ethiopia, and different opinions about Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.
AEI's Critical Threats Africa File published on 22 January 2026 an analysis titled "Ethiopia" by Michael DeAngelo.
The Amhara Fano Nationalist Force and the Amhara Fano Peace Organization merged on 17 January to form the Amhara Fano National Movement (AFNM). The AFNM pledged to fight against Ethiopia's ruling Prosperity Party. The merger may also result in closer collaboration with the Tigray People's Liberation Front and Eritrean forces.
Ethiopia Insight published on 15 December 2025 a commentary titled "Medieval Myths to Modern Ethiopia" by Muktar Ismail.
The author disputes the myth of the Solomonic dynasty. He concludes that Ethiopia faces a critical challenge in creating a shared narrative that embraces its diverse population. This requires moving away from its Solomonic mythology towards a more inclusive fact-based dialogue.
The East African published on 31 October 2025 an article titled "Fluid Relations as Addis Seeks Sea Route Via Eritrea" by Aggrey Mutambo.
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed said he may turn to international mediation as Addis Abba seeks access to the Red Sea through Eritrea. Ethiopian military leaders pursued a more strident position. An Eritrean spokesperson dismissed the idea.
Ethiopia Insight published on 28 August 2025 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's National Dialogue Seeks to Smooth the Path to Constitutional Reform" by Leul Estifanos.
The commentary discusses the status of Ethiopia's three-year-old National Dialogue Commission with a focus on the prospects for amending the constitution.
Ethiopia Insight published on 24 July 2025 an article titled "Under Two Flags: Life in Dembi Dollo" by Ermias Tasfaye, an Ethiopia Insight reporter based in Oromia.
The town of Dembi Dollo in western Oromia is at the center of the region's long conflict between the Ethiopian state and Oromo nationalism. The Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) is waging an insurgency against the federal government. Dembi Dollo town remains under government control because of heavy security while the OLA dominates the countryside. Dembi Dollo is griped with fear.
Ethiopia Insight published on 26 May 2025 a commentary titled "TPLF Insider Blows Lid Off Party's Long Road to Collapse."
An anonymous former Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) leader discusses the unraveling of the party. The insider argues that the TPLF's problems were not caused by any one person but were a cumulative disaster decades in the making.
Ethiopia Insight published on 10 April 2025 a commentary titled "The Battle for Tigray" by Ella Atsbeha, a Tigrayan writer based outside the region.
The author revisits the war in Tigray, the Pretoria Agreement, and recent political developments in Tigray Region and within the TPLF. He argues that the TPLF's resurgence in Tigray reduces the prospect of war with Eritrea.
Foreign Policy posted n 19 December 2024 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's Precarious Economic Reforms" by Liam Taylor, freelance journalist based in Addis Ababa.
The author argues that Ethiopia's economic reform package is "fraught with jeopardy." Political instability and a history of foreign investors who have been burned in Ethiopia does not bode well for the program.
The South China Morning Post published on 19 November 2024 an article titled "Do the Communist Party's Ties in Africa Pay Economic Dividends for China?" by Jevans Nyabiage.
The Communist Party of China has interacted for decades with political parties in Africa. It is not clear, however, whether closer party-to-party relations are the primary driver for more Chinese investment and funding in an African country.
Ethiopia Insight published on 17 October 2024 a commentary titled "Peace--and Justice--Remain Elusive in Oromia" by Siyanne Mekonnen, freelance journalist based in Ethiopia.
There is no end in sight to the conflict in Oromia. The way forward requires all stakeholders to come to the table and rectify historical privileges that have contributed to the marginalization of certain ethnic groups. The author concludes such a harmonious outcome is a distant dream.
Ethiopia Insight published on 13 September 2024 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's Endless Constitutional Chasm and Authoritarian Abyss" by Leul Estifanos, freelance court reporter.
There seems to be a consensus that Ethiopia needs to make changes in its 1995 constitution, but there is no consensus on what the final document should look like. Finding a consensus is even more difficult in Ethiopia's current political environment. The situation today is exacerbated because even the existing constitution is not being fully implemented.
Ethiopia Insight published on 4 September 2024 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's Oversight Vacuum Breeds Weak Opposition Parties" by Temelso Gashaw, human rights lawyer.
There are currently 71 registered Ethiopian national and regional political parties. Many are weak, fringe parties that exist as a result of Ethiopia's party registration and financing system. Ethnic and religious identity define most of these parties and most are considered to be the "private property of their leaders."
