Showing posts with label South Africa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label South Africa. Show all posts

Monday, November 2, 2026

What Does Russia Hope to Achieve in Africa?

 Deutsche Welle published on 28 October 2026 an article titled "Russia in Africa: What Does the Kremlin Hope to Achieve?" by Oleg Loginov.

Russia has important economic ties with Egypt but with few other African countries.  Moscow is preparing to compete in the critical minerals sector and Russian mercenaries support African regimes in several Sahel countries.  Russia remains a major supplier of arms to African countries and is an important source of fertilizer and grains.

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Africa, China, and the Green Revolution

 The South African Institute for International Affairs published on 23 October 2026 an analysis titled "Africa's Industrial Moment: Strategic Agency, China and the Green Transition" by Roli Asthana.

This policy paper urges that African nations, rather than compete directly with China, should identify specific components of clean energy manufacturing where they can develop competitive capabilities and negotiate with Chinese firms and other external investors to locate manufacturing, assembly, supplier development, and associated capabilities within African countries.  

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Russia Steps Up Recruitment of Africans for Ukraine War

 The Insider posted on 26 October 2026 an article titled "Russia Expands War Recruitment in Africa, with Enlistment in Burundi Up 23-fold."

Russia has stepped up its recruitment of Africans to fight in its war against Ukraine.  After Kenya and South Africa tried to end Russian recruitment, Moscow turned to Burundi, Zimbabwe, Sierra Leone, and Madagascar, among others.  Ukraine reports that Russia has recruited 5,400 Africans from 43 countries to serve as mercenaries with Russian forces.

Monday, October 26, 2026

China's Zero Tariff Policy Will Not Solve Ghana's Export Challenges

 Discovery Alert posted on 18 October 2026 an article titled "Ghana's Export Strategy Needs More than China's Zero Tariffs" by Muflih Hidayat.

China's recent zero tariff policy for African countries removes only a price barrier.  Rules of origin, standards, processing capacity, and financing will limit the ability of Ghana to export substantially more goods to China.

Monday, October 19, 2026

South Africa: Competing with a Surge of Imported Chinese Manufactured Goods

 The Ubuntu Times published on 14 October 2026 an article titled "South African Manufacturers Face Growing Pressure as Chinese Imports Surge."

Imported Chinese manufactured goods have flooded the South African market since the beginning of the year, primarily as a result of lower prices than comparable South African goods.  While this is beneficial for South African consumers, it can be devastating for South African companies. The article explains what South African companies need to do to compete with Chinese imports.  

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Chinese Imports Swamp South African Manufactured Goods

 Eyewitness News posted on 13 October 2026 an article titled "Influx of Cheaper Chinese Goods (Not only Cars) Puts Local Manufacturers Under Pressure" by Paula Luckhoff.

Goods imported by South Africa from China increased 29 percent in the first 8 months of 2026 compared to 2025.  The increase comes as Chinese manufactured goods face higher barriers in Western markets.  Electric vehicles and mobile phones are prominent among the imports.

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Reshaping China's Critical Minerals Strategy in Africa

 China Africa Security Radar posted on 11 October 2026 an analysis titled "Chinese Study Shows How African Agency Is Reshaping China's Critical Minerals Strategy."

China obtains 99 percent of its cobalt, 85 percent of its manganese, 81 percent of its chromium, and 70 percent of its bauxite from Africa.  Policy shifts in African countries are forcing China to rethink its critical minerals strategy.

Monday, October 5, 2026

South African Data Exfiltration Linked to Chinese IP Addresses

 World Today Journal published on 30 September 2026 an article titled "South Africa Air Traffic Control Hit by Ransomware Malware and Data Exfiltration" by Linda Park.

South Africa's Air Traffic and Navigation Services organization discovered ransomware-linked malware inside an operational technology network.  Internal technical teams identified indicators pointing toward potential data exfiltration diverted at external Internet Protocol addresses located in China.

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Russian and Chinese Manipulative Information Operations in Nigeria

 The Africa Center for Strategic Studies published on 29 September 2026 an analysis titled "The Raging Information Battle in Nigeria" by Mark Duerksen.

Russia and China are targeting Nigeria with manipulative information operations to erode trust, deepen polarization, and shape security narratives to gain greater leverage over Nigeria's political and economic trajectory.   The barrage of inauthentic content targeting Nigeria frequently portrays the country as chaotic, overrun by violence, and beyond repair through democratic means.

Russia is the most active foreign actor distorting Nigeria's information space.  Ghost reporters launder Russian narratives through Nigerian media.  Generative AI creates local content and fake experts.  Nigerian social media mobilizes influence-for-hire networks to advance Russia's geostrategic agenda. Russia's campaign aims to establish an anti-Western bloc across West Africa.

China has become more aggressive in utilizing inauthentic networks.  Chinese-linked systems operate as part of a larger information ecosystem through state media, paid content, and elite relationships, including China's United Front.  China uses these networks to insert geopolitical objectives into Nigerian domestic protests and election-related conversations.    

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Chinese Fintech Companies Expand in Africa

 The Nanyang Technological University published on 28 August 2026 an article titled "Growing Chinese Influence in African Fintech" by Rafia Raji.

Two Chinese fintech companies, Opay and PalmPay, focus primarily on Nigeria where they have made significant inroads into the digital financial sector.  They are becoming competitive digital banks in Nigeria.  African partnerships with Chinese fintechs are adding to China's engagement in digital banking across the continent.  

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Turning the US Refugee Program on Its Head

The Washington Post published on 21 September 2026 an exclusive analysis titled "How Trump Turned a Refugee Bureau into a $410 Million Deportation Operation" by David Nakamura and Adam Taylor. 

The State Department's new Office of Remigration reverses a long-standing policy of resettling refugees in the United States to a focus on expelling them.  The State Department implements the policy by bribing governments in Africa and Latin America to accept the deportees.  

The United States has suspended accepting almost all refugees except for White South Africans.  So far, the Trump administration has deported under this program more than 25,000 people, most of them to Mexico and the others to Africa and Latin America.  This is a tiny percentage of the 985,000 deportations conducted by the Department of Homeland Security during Trump's second term.  

Monday, September 21, 2026

China and US Compete for South Africa's Platinum

 Semafor published on 21 September 2026 an article titled "South Africa Woos US and China with Platinum" by Alexis Akwagyiram, Tiisetso Motsoeneng, and Sam Mkokeli.

South Africa is the world's leading supplier of platinum and seeking to gain influence with both China and the United States.  The US needs it for catalytic converters and defense equipment while China needs it to develop green hydrogen as a form of sustainable energy.

At the political level, the Trump administration continues to alienate South Africa, while China is cultivating the South African government.  Washington's criticism of South Africa shows no signs of abating, which risks losing more ground to Beijing in the race to secure access to Pretoria's critical minerals.


Saturday, September 19, 2026

China Converts Economic Influence in Africa to Strategic Influence

 Modern Diplomacy published on 14 September 2026 a commentary titled "Is China Turning Economic Influence in Africa into Strategic Power?" by Nadia Helmy.

The author argues that China is leveraging its membership in BRICS and its direct investment in Africa as tools to build economic influence that gradually translate into sustainable political, security, and strategic influence.  

Friday, September 18, 2026

China-Africa Trade Developments

 The Rhodium Group published on 14 September 2026 an analysis titled "Monitoring China-Africa Trade Spillovers" by Jeremy Smith.

The analysis focuses on the impact of changes in China's economy on trade with South Africa, Angola, and the DRC.  China's slowing growth and worsening trade imbalances are rapidly reshaping its economic relationship with Africa.  China's export surge to Africa lowers the cost of goods for consumers but makes domestic industrialization harder.  Africa should no longer expect the rising tide of Chinese demand to lift all boats for commodity exporters.

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Chinese Bank Invested in South Africa's Standard Bank to Raise $15 Billion

 Business Insider Africa published on 7 September 2026 an article titled "China Lines Up $15 Billion Capital Boost for Biggest Shareholder in Africa's Largest Bank" by Ayodeji Adegboyega.

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) plans to raise as much as $15 billion.  ICBC holds about 20 percent of the shares of South Africa's Standard Bank, which operates in 20 African countries.  The new ICBC capital is intended for its balance sheet and has not been earmarked for Standard Bank or African projects.

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

Financing Terrorist Organizations in Somalia

 The Africa Center for Strategic Studies published on 6 August 2026 an analysis titled "Countering Terrorism Financing in East Africa" by Daisy Muibu and Nicole Mazurova.

Al-Shabaab in Somalia has established a sophisticated revenue-generation capacity that includes criminal activities, illicit trade, smuggling, and money laundering.  Al-Shahaab obtains annual revenue of up to $200 million annually.  The Islamic State in Somalia generates between $100,000 and $360,000 monthly through extortion and illicit taxation.  

Defeating these terrorist organizations will require degrading their revenue generation capacities through strengthened national and regional coordination.  

Friday, August 28, 2026

Washington Post Editorial on US-China AI Competition in Africa

 The Washington Post published on 27 August 2026 an editorial titled "How the U.S. Can Beat China in Africa's AI Race."

Software developers across Africa are adapting Chinese models to build applications tailored for African users.  But China has no monopoly on AI projects in Africa.  In compute, the US has far more to offer than China.  The US needs to revive its Power Africa initiative, which came to an end when the Trump administration dismantled USAID, in order to support African data centers.  

Thursday, August 27, 2026

China Enhances Broadcasting Exchanges with South Africa

 Broadcast Media Africa posted on 25 August 2026 an article titled "South Africa: SABC and JSBC Forge Partnership to Enhance Cultural Exchange and Broadcasting Cooperation."

The South African Broadcasting Corporation (SABC) has signed a memorandum of understanding with Chinese media organization Jiangsu Broadcasting Corporation (JSBC).  The SABC will broadcast China Hour, a dedicated program designed to give South African audiences greater exposure to Chinese stories, culture, and people.  The goal is to strengthen people-to-people connections between South Africa and China.    

China Orders Its Citizens Out of Eswatini

 The BBC posted on 26 August 2026 an article titled "China Advises Its Citizens to Leave Taiwan Ally Eswatini Over 'Security Risks'" by Basillioh Rukanga.

China's Foreign Ministry told its citizens to leave Eswatini, the only country in Africa that recognizes Taiwan, citing "rampant cyber fraud and criminal activities associated with gambling."  Eswatini had earlier arrested 40 Chinese nationals during raids on alleged illegal online gambling centers.  

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Cote d'Ivoire Expands Military Cooperation with China

 Defence Web published on 18 August 2026 an article titled "Cote d'Ivoire Boosts Military Capabilities with New Chinese Patrol Vessels and Drones" by Armand Liebenberg.

Cote d'Ivoire recently took possession of two Chinese donated Predator-class coastal patrol vessels and purchased at least two advanced Chinese-made Wing Loong II drones.  China earlier supplied Cote d'Ivoire with 9 assault vehicles and 27 armored personnel carriers.  

Business Insider Africa published on 11 August 2026 an article titled "China Delivers Its Famous Wing Loong II Combat Drones to Another African Country in Growing Challenge to America's MQ-9 Reaper" by Olamilekan Okebiorun.

Nigeria, Morocco, and Algeria previously received China's Wing Loong II combat drones.  It is a lower cost alternative to the US-produced MQ-1 Predator and the MQ-9 Reaper drones.