Showing posts with label disarmament. Show all posts
Showing posts with label disarmament. Show all posts

Saturday, August 5, 2023

Abiy Ahmed-Antony Blinken Phone Call

 The Addis Standard published on 4 August 2023 an article titled "Blinken Speaks of 'Immediately Implementing' Pretoria Agreement in a Phone Call with Abiy."  

In a 4 August phone call with Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken emphasized the need for immediate implementation of the Pretoria Agreement, including the withdrawal of all foreign forces from Ethiopia and concurrent disarmament of Tigrayan forces.

Monday, April 10, 2023

Integration of Regional Militias Faces Opposition in Ethiopia

 The Washington Post published on 10 April 2023 an article titled "Ethiopian Plan to Disarm Regional Forces Sparks Protests in Amhara" by Katharine Houreld.  

The decision by the central government to integrate regional militia forces into the national army has sparked violence in Amhara Region where some members of the Fano militia are resisting the order.  

Friday, January 13, 2023

Amhara Militia Begins Withdrawal from Northern Tigray

 The Voice of America published on 13 January 2023 an article titled "Regional Forces in Ethiopia Withdraw from Tigray" by Maya Misikir.  

Amhara militia aligned with central Ethiopian government forces during the civil war have withdrawn from a strategic town in northern Tigray Region.  

Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Ethiopia: Tigrayans Begin Handing over Weapons to Central Government

 Reuters published on 10 January 2023 an article titled "Tigray Forces Begin Handing over Heavy Weapons to Ethiopian Army" by Dawit Endeshaw.

Tigray Defense Forces have begun the disarmament process in accordance with the peace agreement and are turning over heavy weapons to central government forces.

Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Interview on Ethiopia, US-Africa Leaders Summit, and China-US Competition in Africa

 George Kidane of The Eritrean Studies Forum interviewed me on 9 January 2023 in a podcast titled "Outcomes for Peace in Ethiopia, and American Relations with African Countries."

The 46 minute interview focused on the conflict in Tigray Region of Ethiopia, the role of Eritrea in the conflict, the impact of the US-Africa Leaders Summit, and US-China competition in Africa.  

Friday, January 6, 2023

Long Road to Peace in Ethiopia

 Reuters published on 5 January 2023 an article titled "Ethiopia Sets Out on Long Road to Peace after Two Years of War" by Tommy Wilkes.

The author concluded that 2022 ended on a note of cautious optimism for ending the war in Ethiopia although prospects for peace remain uncertain.

Saturday, December 31, 2022

Eritrean Forces Begin Withdrawal from Ethiopia

 The Voice of America published on 30 December 2022 an article titled "Eritrean Forces Begin Withdrawal as Ethiopia, Tigray Peace Agreement Holds" by Mohammed Yusuf.

Some Eritrean forces began to withdraw from Tigray Region on 29 December although it is not clear when all of them will return to Eritrea.  

Tuesday, December 27, 2022

Ethiopian Government Team Arrives in Tigray Region

 Agence France Presse published on 26 December 2022 an article titled "Ethiopia Govt. Team in Rebel Tigray after Nov. 2 Peace Deal."

A high level Ethiopian government team has arrived in the capital of Tigray Region to supervise the implementation of major issues associated with the peace agreement.  Eritrean Defense Forces and Amhara militia remain in Tigray.

Monday, December 26, 2022

Ethiopia's Hard Road to Peace

 Foreign Affairs published on 26 December 2022 an article titled "Ethiopia's Hard Road to Peace" by Jeffrey Feltman, former US special envoy for the Horn of Africa.

The article lays out the recent history of the conflict in Tigray Region and then focuses on potential spoilers of the peace agreement, especially the Eritrean Defense Forces, Amhara militia, and actions of certain external states and forces.   

Friday, December 23, 2022

AU Monitoring Team to Oversea Ethiopian Peace Deal

 The Voice of America published on 23 December 2022 an article titled "Ethiopia, Tigray Rebels Agree to African Union Monitoring Team" by Mohammed Yusuf.

Ethiopian central government officials and the Tigray People's Liberation Front have agreed to establish a joint monitoring team to oversee the peace agreement.  The two sides discussed ways to implement disarmament of the Tigrayan forces and negotiate the withdrawal of Eritrean forces from Tigray Region.  

Friday, December 16, 2022

A Pessimistic Take on Ethiopia's Peace Agreement

 The London School of Economics and Political Science blog posted on 15 December 2022 a commentary titled "Peace Agreement Signed in Pretoria But the Future of Ethiopia Remains Uncertain" by Yohannes Woldemariam.

The author states that "Ethiopia is an empire that could be staring at complete disintegration."  He concludes that the solution for survival may be creation of a "loose confederation" of states.  

Sunday, December 4, 2022

Tigrayan Disengagement Underway in Parts of Tigray Region

Agence France Presse published on 4 December 2022 an article titled "Ethiopia's Tigray Forces Withdraw 65% of Fighters from Frontline, Says Commander." 

The commander of the Tigrayan forces said 65 percent of his troops have disengaged from the frontlines in the conflict with the central government.  Tigrayan forces remain in areas where Eritrean forces and hostile regional militia are still opposing Tigrayan forces.  

Friday, December 2, 2022

Indian Publication Offers Hopeful but Cautious Analysis of Ethiopian Peace Agreement

 India's Frontline Magazine published on 30 November 2022 an article titled "Peace Deal between Government of Ethiopia and TPLF a Welcome First Step" by John Cherian.

The article offers a review of the conflict in Tigray Region and provides a cautiously optimistic assessment of the peace deal going forward.  

Thursday, December 1, 2022

Ethiopia: Disarmament Talks Underway But Eritreans Must Leave First

 The Associated Press published on 1 December 2022 an article titled "Ethiopian Government Says Disarmament Talks with Tigray Forces Have Begun."

While talks have begun in Tigray Region between central government and Tigrayan officials, the Tigrayan side says disarmament of their forces cannot begin until Ethiopia has removed fighters from Eritrea and neighboring Amhara Region.

Friday, November 25, 2022

Hurdles Confronting Ethiopian Peace Agreement

 Ethiopia Insight published on 25 November 2022 a commentary titled "Many Hurdles to Peace in Tigray Remain after Pretoria and Nairobi Deals" by Patrick Wight, senior editor at Ethiopia Insight.

Tigrayan disarmament, withdrawal of Eritrean forces from Tigray Region, the ambiguity of the status of Western Tigray, and accountability for atrocities by both sides are among the most significant obstacles to real peace in Ethiopia. 

Saturday, November 19, 2022

Ethiopia: Finding a Future for Tigrayan Soldiers Is Important Part of Peace Process

 The Washington Post Monkey Cage published on 18 November 2022 a commentary titled "Ethiopia's Peace May Depend on Post-Conflict Plans for Tigray Soldiers" by Sally Sharif, Simon Fraser University.  

Disarming, demobilizing, and reintegrating (DDR) Tigrayan soldiers into Ethiopian society will be one of the most important and challenging factors facing the peace process.  The DDR program is unlikely to succeed without technical support and funding from international sources.  

Thursday, November 17, 2022

Facing Famine, Tigray Yields to Ethiopian Government

 Responsible Statecraft published on 16 November 2022 a commentary titled "Facing Famine, Tigray Concedes to Ethiopian Government, and Abiy" by Alex de Waal.  

The Tigray People's Liberation Front agreed to dismantle the regional government of Tigray and to disarm the Tigray Defense Forces in return for ending the fighting, receiving humanitarian aid, and removing of "foreign forces" (understood to mean Eritrean troops) from Tigray Region.  The prospect of famine and starvation in Tigray Region drove this decision.   

Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Eritrea and the Ethiopian Peace Agreement

 Le Monde published on 15 November 2022 an article titled "Eritrea's Shadow Looms over Ethiopian Peace Process" by Noe Hochet-Bodin.  

The Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) is waiting for security guarantees from Addis Ababa that Eritrean forces are leaving Tigray Region.  TPLF disarmament of heavy weapons will be done concurrently with the withdrawal of foreign forces from the region.  The challenge for Abiy Ahmed is to persuade Isaias Afwerki to respect the cease fire and remove his troops from Tigray Region.  

Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Ethiopian Prime Minister Discusses Peace Agreement

 Agence France Presse published on 15 November 2022 an article titled "Ethiopia PM Vows to Execute 'Promise' of Peace Deal."

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed said he expects to execute the peace agreement signed on 2 November in South Africa.  He acknowledged that the future of contested Western Tigray was not part of the negotiation.  

Progress on Ethiopia's Peace Agreement

 The Council on Foreign Relations posted on 14 November 2022 a commentary titled "Progress Towards Peace for Ethiopia's Tigray Conflict" by Michelle Gavin.  

The author argues that follow-up talks in Nairobi have advanced the cause of peace in Tigray but significant obstacles remain, not the least of which is the role of Eritrea in the conflict.