Showing posts with label Palestine. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Palestine. Show all posts

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Why Israel Recognized Somaliland

 ABC News posted on 31 December 2025 an article titled "The Strategic Plays that May Have Driven Israel's Recognition of Somaliland" by Eric Tlozek.

Israel probably recognized Somaliland for the following reasons: to establish a presence to monitor Houthi activity in nearby Yemen, as a location for possible resettlement of Gazans from Palestine, and to counter the influence of Turkiye in the region.

Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Israel's Recognition of Somaliland Creates Challenges in Horn of Africa (in Arabic)

 Egypt's Al Dostor published on 29 December 2025 an article titled "A Dangerous Gamble. Two International Experts: Israeli Recognition of 'Somaliland' Turns It into a Military Base."

The Arabic-language article draws on analysis by me and an analyst at the Atlantic Council in Washington on the implications of Israel's formal recognition of Somaliland, the first such recognition by another country.  It raises the question of possible recognition by other countries and identifies some of the challenges and new strategic considerations in the Horn of Africa and Red Sea region.

Saturday, March 15, 2025

Resettle Gazans in Horn of Africa? Really Bad Idea

 Reuters published on 14 March 2025 an article titled "Somalia and Somaliland Say No Talks on Resettling Palestinians from Gaza."

The Associated Press quoted US and Israeli officials as saying their governments had contacted officials from Sudan, Somalia, and Somaliland to discuss their reaction to resettling Palestinians from Gaza.  Sudanese and Somali officials responded they were unaware of any such contact but quickly rejected any such proposal.  Somaliland officials also were unaware of any contact about resettlement.  

Comment:  Whether contact was or was not made, this is a really bad idea.  War-torn Sudan and al-Shabaab-threatened Somalia are no place to go. Resettling Gazans in Somaliland would further complicate the fraught relationship between Somalia and Somaliland.  And what about the Gazans?  They do not appear to have any interest in being forcibly moved to the Horn of Africa.  

Thursday, May 30, 2024

China, Egypt, and the Arab World

 Modern Diplomacy published on 30 May 2024 a commentary titled "Egypt and the 20th Anniversary of the China-Arab States Cooperation Forum" by Nadia Helmy, Beni Suef University.

The author believes China's relations with Egypt are at their best and reflect Beijing's growing partnership with Arab countries, especially on the issue of Palestine.  

Wednesday, December 13, 2023

Egyptian Media Coverage of China's Role in the Israel-Hamas War

 The ChinaMed Observer posted on 13 December 2023 an analysis titled "High Hopes and Great Opportunities: The Egyptian Press Reflects on China's Role in the Israel-Hamas War" by Mariateresa Natuzzi.

The analysis looks at the Egyptian media's coverage of China's position on the Israel-Hamas war.  It concludes, on the one hand, that Egyptian media appreciates Beijing's position on the war, which aligns closely with that of the Egyptian government.  On the other hand, there is some skepticism that China will become an influential actor in this conflict.  

Wednesday, January 6, 2021

US Treasury Secretary Visits Sudan and Egypt

 The Associated Press posted on 6 January 2021 an article titled "Sudan Says It Signs Deal on Normalizing Ties with Israel" by Samy Magdy.  

US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin just completed a visit to Egypt and Sudan, where the government in Khartoum signed the "Abraham Accords" that pave the way for Sudan to normalize relations with Israel.  Mnuchin also discussed debt relief with the government of Sudan.  

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

How Joe Biden Would Change Policy in North Africa

 The European Council on Foreign Relations published on 3 November 2020 a commentary titled "How a Biden Win Could Transform US Policy in the Middle East and North Africa."

Anthony Dworkin commented on possible policy changes by Joe Biden in North Africa. He suggested Biden will be less attracted to Egypt's heavy-handed approach, which encourages radicalization and has reduced Egypt's importance as a regional power.  Increased human rights violations in Egypt will raise a red flag and Biden will take a more balanced position on the Nile water dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia.  Biden is likely to adopt the same priorities towards Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia.

Tarek Megerisi, commenting on policy towards Libya, said there is little indication US inertia will be shifted by Biden.  On the other hand, Biden may be more critical of Egyptian, Turkish, and Emirati unilateralism, humanitarian violations, and general spoiling of UN and US positions in the region.    

Monday, October 26, 2020

US Quid pro Quo in Sudan-Israel Deal

 World Politics Review posted on 26 October 2020 a commentary titled "Sudan's Normalization with Israel Looks Like an American 'Quid pro Quo'" by Frederick Deknatel.  

Sudan's agreement to begin the process of normalizing relations with Israel and paying compensation to the victims of the 1998 bombing of US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania and the 2000 attack on the USS Cole look like a Trump administration quid pro quo for removing Sudan from the list of state sponsors of terrorism and receiving US humanitarian assistance.  

Why Arab Countries Support China's Xinjiang Policies

 The National Interest published on 24 October 2020 an article titled "Why the Muslim Middle East Supports China's Xinjiang Crackdown" by Adam Lammon.

The author suggests that Arab countries, including Morocco and Egypt in North Africa, and non-Arab Muslim countries in the Middle East support China's crackdown on Muslim Uyghurs in Xinjiang for several reasons.  First, China has strong economic ties with most of these countries and can use these ties for political leverage.  Second, the leaders of these countries loathe political Islam, which they associate with terrorism.  They are willing to accept China's explanation for the crackdown on Uyghurs as a counterterrorism campaign.  

Saturday, October 24, 2020

Sudan and Israel Agree to Normalize Ties

 The Washington Post published on 23 October 2020 an article titled "Sudan and Israel Agree to Normalize Ties, the Third Such Accord since August" by Anne Gearan and Steve Hendrix.  

President Trump announced on 23 October 2020 that Sudan and Israel agreed to begin the process of normalizing relations.  This follows agreement by the Trump administration to remove Sudan from the list of state sponsors of terrorism in exchange for depositing $335 million for the victims of attacks during the 1998 bombings of US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania and the 2000 attack on the USS Cole off Aden.

My comment:  There is no link between removal of Sudan from the list of state sponsors of terrorism and Sudan's normalization of relations with Israel except that it was a useful ploy by the Trump administration to put pressure on Sudan to achieve a domestic political victory before the November election.  The fact that Sudan is now in the process of normalizing relations with Israel is a realistic and positive move so long as it does not upend the process toward democratic government in Sudan during a politically sensitive period in the country.  

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

China As a Conflict Mediator

The Mercator Institute for China Studies published on 22 August 2018 a brief analysis titled "China As a Conflict Mediator: Maintaining Stability Along the Belt and Road" by Helena Legarda.

The author argues that China is increasing its conflict resolution efforts along the Belt and Road, including in Africa. Beijing reportedly pays more attention to its international mediation efforts and publicizes its activities more actively. This allows China to present itself as a responsible global actor. The author adds that so far China has failed to produce a long-term sustainable peace process in any of these conflicts.

While China has increased its diplomatic engagement in conflict issues, with rare exception, its involvement hardly qualifies as serving as a mediator in the normal use of the term. China's efforts are neither sustained nor are they necessarily designed to reach a solution.

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Visits to the Palestinian West Bank and Gaza

I normally devote this blog to issues concerning Africa and China-Africa relations. Although I have had some experience in the Middle East, I am not a specialist on the area. I had the opportunity in June, however, to spend more than two weeks in Israel, the Palestinian West Bank and Gaza. It occurred to me that my inexpert impressions of visits to Hebron and Nablus in the West Bank and to Gaza following the flotilla episode might be of interest to a wider audience.

Palestine - Visit to Hebron

Palestine - Visit to Gaza

Palestine - Visit to Nablus and Samaritan Community