Showing posts with label Horn of Africa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Horn of Africa. Show all posts

Thursday, July 2, 2026

Podcast of Somaliland's Culture and History

 Higher Education Today posted about a month ago a 29-minute podcast titled "Culture and History of Somaliland" hosted by Steven Roy Goodman with Jama Musa Jama, Hargeisa Cultural Centre, and Lee Cassanelli, professor emeritus at the University of Pennsylvania.  

This is a positive account filmed in Hargeisa of Somaliland's history and culture, interspersed with video clips of the country.  

Friday, June 19, 2026

The Ethiopian-Egyptian Cold War

 Fronts, an independent online news source owned by a privately held Czech company, posted on 15 June 2026 a commentary titled "The Egypt-Ethiopia Cold War Is Key to the Horn's Growing Conflicts" by Liam Karr.

The author suggests a "cold war" between Ethiopia and Egypt is a battle for regional dominance, touches nearly every conflict in the Horn of Africa, and is fueling tensions in an already unstable region.  Control over Nile waters and landlocked Ethiopia's desire to obtain access to the sea loom large in this cold war.

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Instability in the Kenya--Somalia-Ethiopia Borderlands

 The Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies published on 15 April 2026 a paper titled "Instability in the Kenya-Somalia-Ethiopia Borderlands" by Christopher Hockey, Timothy Kimaiyo, and Martine Zeuthen.  

The paper provides critical insights into the complex dynamics of instability in the Kenya-Somalia-Ethiopia borderlands.  It highlights the interconnected challenges of violent extremism, gender-based violence, ethnic tensions, political instability and resource pressures, offering practical recommendations for future interventions.

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Another Prediction of Regional War in the Horn of Africa

 World Politics Review published on 26 March 2026 an article titled "A Looming 'Mega-War' in the Horn of Africa" by Elliot Waldman.

The author is of the view that Ethiopian support for the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in Sudan's civil war and growing internal conflict in Ethiopia open the prospect for a "regional mega-war."

Friday, March 27, 2026

Will War with Iran Impact the Horn of Africa?

 The Emirates Policy Center published on 27 March 2026 an analysis titled "Exacerbating the Risk of Fragility: Consequences of Iran War on the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa Region."

The Horn of Africa and Red Sea may become an arena for escalating regional and international conflict as Iran seeks to expand its confrontation with the US and Israel.  It could escalate existing local conflicts, intensify competition by regional powers such as Türkiye and Egypt, and cause a recalibration of foreign policy alignments.  

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Regionalizing Sudan's Civil War

 The International Crisis Group posted on 11 March 2026 a commentary titled "Sudan's Devastating War Rages on as Regional Rivalries Deepen" by Shewit Woldemichael.  

As Sudan's civil war nears its fourth year, the conflict is steadily regionalizing into the Horn of Africa and Gulf States, making any settlement harder to achieve.  Supporting the Sudan Armed Forces are Egypt, Eritrea, Turkiye, Qatar, Iran, and Saudi Arabia.  The principal backer of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces is the UAE.  The feud between the UAE and Saudi Arabia now risks deepening the intractable nature of the war.  

Thursday, March 5, 2026

Implications of Iran War for Red Sea and Horn of Africa

 AEI's Critical Threats Africa File posted on 4 March 2026 an analysis titled "Iran War's Impact on the Red Sea and Horn of Africa" by Liam Karr.

The Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen could resume missile strikes on Israel or initiate strikes on the UAE but have not yet done so.  The US military base in Djibouti is another possible target.  For its part, Iran may engage in terrorist attacks on US interests in Africa.

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Choosing Peace in the Horn of Africa

 An Africanist Perspective posted on 27 February 2026 a commentary titled "Conflict in the Horn of Africa Isn't Inevitable.  People Can Choose Peace" by Ken Opalo.  

The fundamental drivers of conflict in the Horn of Africa are domestic.  Once rebellions start, they tend to acquire lives of their own.  A neighborhood of weak states with porous borders contributes to the problem, making it easy for regional rivals and foreign governments to interfere.  

Too many people in the Horn are convinced that organized violence is a legitimate response to losing in the political arena.  That has to change before there will be peace.  

Thursday, February 26, 2026

Somaliland/Israel/Taiwan vs China

 The University of Nottingham Taiwan Research Hub's Taiwan Insight published on 23 February 2026 a commentary titled "Taiwan's Diplomatic Bridge: Taiwan-Somaliland-Israel vs China in the Horn of Africa" by Faisal Abdirashid Adam. 

Taiwan, which established a liaison office in Somaliland in 2020, has embraced Israel's diplomatic recognition of Somaliland, framing it as a major step forward for the emerging "democratic triangle" of Taiwan, Israel, and Somaliland, which now positions itself as a powerful new alliance for trilateral cooperation in technology, agriculture, and Red Sea security.  


Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Fault Lines in the Horn of Africa

 The American Enterprise Institute's Critical Threats published in March 2026 a major report titled "Fault Lines in the Horn of Africa: The Gulf States, Turkey and Israel Battle for Red Sea Influence" by Liam Karr and Michael DeAngelo.  

This is an extensive study on the current situation in the Horn of Africa with special reference to the roles of Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar.  It includes detailed recommendations for US policy.  


Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Saudi-UAE Power Struggle in the Horn of Africa

 The New Arab published on 9 February 2026 an article titled "The Growing Saudi-UAE Power Struggle in the Horn of Africa" by Jonathan Fenton-Harvey.

The author reviews the Horn of Africa from the standpoint of Saudi-UAE involvement in the numerous disputes in the region and increasing competition, especially in Sudan and Somalia/Somaliland.  

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Ethiopia Receives Russian Light Attack Aircraft and UAVs

Defence Web published on 30 January 2026 an article titled "Ethiopia Acquires Yak-130 Trainer, Orion-E UAVs from Russia" by Guy Martin.  

The Ethiopian Air Force has acquired the Orion-E unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and the Yak-130 jet trainer and ground attack aircraft from Russia.  

 The Robert Lansing Institute published on 30 January 2026 an article titled "Russia's Arms Exports to Ethiopia and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage in the Horn of Africa."

The article notes that the transfer of Russian drones undermines US efforts to promote standards for responsible use and control over the equipment.

Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Growing Geopolitical Complexities in Red Sea Region

 Foreign Policy published on 27 January 2026 an article titled "Red Sea Rivalries Risk Unraveling the Horn of Africa" by Cameron Hudson and Liam Karr. 

The civil war in Sudan between the Sudan Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces is increasingly becoming a proxy war for regional players Ethiopia, Eritrea, Egypt, UAE, Turkey, Libya, and Saudi Arabia, among others.  The authors argue it is time for the Trump administration to designate a Senate-confirmed presidential special envoy for the Horn of Africa and Red Sea.  

Sunday, December 14, 2025

Eritrea Withdraws from Regional Organization

 The BBC posted on 12 December 2025 an article titled "Eritrea Quits Regional Bloc as Tensions Rise with Ethiopia" by Tesfalem Araia.

Eritrea has withdrawn from the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), accusing the organization of "becoming a tool against" countries like itself.  The withdrawal from the Horn of Africa organization follows a fierce war of words between Ethiopia, current chair of IGAD, and Eritrea.

Thursday, October 2, 2025

Peacemaking Has Become More Difficult in the Horn of Africa

 Foreign Affairs published on 2 October 2025 an article titled "Sudan's War Is the Shape of Things to Come" by Alan Boswell, International Crisis Group.

The Quad (United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and UAE) has proposed a peace plan to end the conflict in Sudan.  The author questions whether the United States is prepared for the long-term engagement required to achieve the goals of the plan.  

The retreat from the region by the United States over the past 15 years has diminished its influence.  Once strong US engagement in the Horn of Africa is no longer the case, and the region is suffering the consequences.  

At the same time, regional middle powers are stepping in to fill the void.  Sudan has become the center for this middle power contest. Peacemaking has become even more difficult in a region where it already was a major challenge.  

Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Gulf States and Turkey Become Major Players in East Africa and Horn

 The Africa Center for Strategic Studies published on 8 July 2025 a survey titled "Mapping Gulf State Actors' Expanding Engagements in East Africa."

The Gulf States, especially the UAE and Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are becoming increasingly important sources of investment and capital in the Horn of Africa and East Africa.

Monday, August 4, 2025

China Sees Economic Development as Solution to Horn of Africa Conflicts

 The South China Morning Post published on 4 August 2025 an article titled "China Pledges Support for Peaceful Development in Horn of Africa" by Jevans Nyabiage.  

China's Horn of Africa special envoy Xue Bing told participants at the 3rd Horn of Africa Conference on Peace and Development held in Uganda that Beijing promotes economic development as a solution to resolving conflict in the region.  

Sunday, August 3, 2025

China's Third Horn of Africa Conference on Peace and Development

 China-Africa Security Radar published on 3 August 2025 an article titled "China in the Horn of Africa."

Uganda hosted on 29 August the 3rd Conference on Peace and Development with attendance by officials from Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Kenya, Somalia, Sudan, South Sudan, and China's Special Envoy for the Horn of Africa Xue Bing.  China provided its analysis of the Horn of Africa's security challenges. 

Comment:  As with the previous two conferences, this appears to have been a talk shop with no tangible programs agreed upon for actually resolving conflict in the Horn of Africa.  

Monday, June 23, 2025

Third China Horn of Africa Peace Conference Scheduled for Kampala

 Ugdiplomat posted on 19 June 2025 an article titled "Uganda, China Hold Talks Ahead of Horn of Africa Conference."

Uganda's foreign minister met with China's Special Envoy for the Horn of Africa, Xue Bing, to discuss plans for the Third Horn of Africa Peace Conference in Kampala at the end of July.

Comment: The first two China-organized Horn of Africa peace conferences resulted in platitudinous concluding statements but no tangible results.  There is no reason to believe the third conference will be any different.  

Saturday, May 10, 2025

Has US Given Up on Preventing Wars in Horn of Africa?

 The New York Times published on 9 May 2025 a commentary titled "The Wars We Still Can Stop" by Cameron Hudson, Center for Strategic and International Studies.

As the Trump administration steps back from the Horn of Africa and guts existing diplomacy tools, it raises the question whether Washington has abdicated its peacemaking role in the region.  The author asks, "how many American warriors do we intend to commit to wars we could have stopped before they started?"